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The Masters, Part 2

The Masters, Part 2

(The Bets)

Andy Molitor
April 09, 2025

One more day to go, and Ron is not doing anything to hamper my enthusiasm for Collin this week. I promised a betting card today, and I think I may have over delivered.

🚀Steady putting improvement here for Morikawa...experience is everything on these greens.
— Ron Klos (@PGASplits101)
9:55 PM • Apr 7, 2025

In Case you missed it, there’s a ton of golf content we made over the week:

Betting Card

I may have gotten a little over the top this year, but I do every year. This is like the Super Bowl when it comes to props, and I backed the guys I liked. I also dug into some historical stuff for round one data, bogey avoidance here at Augusta, as well as Eagle rates to play a few extra props for Thursday.

outrights

Jon Rahm +1500
Collin Morikawa +1600
Xander Schauffele +2500
Robert McIntyre +6402
Sergio Garcia +8000
Maverick McNealy +17188

First round leaders:

Collin Morikawa +2198
Viktor Hovland +4000
Cam Smith +5500
C-Bez +13500

placements

Tommy Fleetwood Top 10 +250 (with ties)

Viktor Hovland Top 10 +400 (dead heat rules)

Russell Henley Top 20 +135 (dead heat rules)

Will Zalatoris Top 20 +175 (dead heat rules)

Maverick McNealy Top 30 +120 (with ties)

Taylor Pendrith Top 30 +140 (with ties)

J.J. Spaun top 30 +140 (with ties)

matchups (72 holes)

Jordan Spieth > Brooks Koepka +107

Robert MacIntyre > Min Woo Lee -105

Cam Smith > Tyrrell Hatton EVEN

Phil Mickelson > Brian Harman +120

props

Jon Rahm 1st round bogey free +1200

Ludvig Aberg 1st round bogey free +1200

Joh Rahm 1st round eagle +550

Viktor Hovland 1st round eagle +550

Dustin Johnson 1st round eagle +650

Under 19.5 players to finish under par +160

Over 43.5 - highest back nine score -115

Hole in one on #16 -105

Winners final putt: under 3 feet -155

Over 8.5 LIV players to make the cut -125

Winning score over 276.5 +115

Weather

The Friday sprinkles appear to be less likely, and the winds only seem like they’ll kick up in round two.

Windfinder is a bit more aggressive on the Friday afternoon winds, and most places are calling for the Friday rains to be light and early in the morning now. It could play nice and soft early on in Round 2, as the sub-air doesn’t completely dry things out immediately.

It’d be nice to say that the PM/AM wave has an advantage based on the soft morning conditions Friday and the nasty winds later, but any delay for round 2 would push some of them into the wind and ruin that pretty quickly.